Is there any sympathy at all for bookmakers - and should there be?
There are sometimes stings and hits that bookies get hit with - We will have to look at a few of them at the blog. It can be a tough gig.
Is there any sympathy at all for bookmakers - and should there be?
There are sometimes stings and hits that bookies get hit with - We will have to look at a few of them at the blog. It can be a tough gig.
Prices are up for this weekend's AFL betting. The interesting ones on first glance are Richmond/St. Kilda, West Coast/Brisbane.
Remember this? hahaha
When you have a winning system for wagering, it's important to stick to it as closely as possible. If you are down, stick to the system, if you are up, stick to the system. If you are in need of excitement in betting? you got it - Stick to the system.
Dr. Sport is the man who helps to call the shots here at www.professionalgambler.com.au
We are a partnership, but not exactly an equal one. We all have our own specialties, and when one of us talks on a topic, the others listen.
Losses. A few in a row. Good money after bad! I'm getting worried! No need to. It's all part of a betting season's return profile. Two steps back then three forward sometimes.
A season of punting can turn on a dime. You can be up and flying one week, then handing back units and struggling for wins the next. The longer we've been doing this, the longer we realise that all of that doesn't matter. Years pass and your performance either holds up, or doesn't.
Geelong and Western Bulldogs at the dome. Can they do it the dogs? getting +28.5 points is a real show. Sports investing in aussie rules.
I love reading about afl every day. They say AFL in Melbourne is a fishbowl, and they are 100% correct. In Melbourne playing for Melbourne Football Club is the biggest fishbowl of them all. Betting on the games makes it even more enjoyable.
Watching some MLB replays and enjoying a couple of Coronas. Just a couple. Responsible sports drinking and viewing. Blogging on some AFL issues a little later.
Sports betting requires thinking about what you are doing.
We thought about markets and percentages today. So we shared our thoughts.
Check it out at the sports betting blog.
Keen to get some more sports betting philosophy type posts happening at the blog. "You can't eat philosophy" they say, but I never listened to "they".
It's important and I think we need to have it out there.
Good to add a few units at once. Not so good to lose a few at once. As much as you can - be like bruce lee says when it comes to investments. Be like water. Round 8 AFL up at the blog
Are the physical demands of AFL football more significant than ever? I'd think so. Sports gambling aside, tonights game between Collingwood and Geelong had every player giving their all. Did it affect the quality of the game - I think it may be getting to that stage. Players being so physically drained that they are unable to execute skills and protect themselves as much as they could in the past.
Round 7 of the AFL season left us with a little bit of a hole in the pocket as we go 0-3. We justblogged about it - well, on the blog - and showed how we take bad weeks with a grain of salt - there will be plenty of good weeks to follow!
Week 14 closes out and we have shown a very slight profit for week 14. Look forward to turning around AFL, and avoiding any extending losses in AFL.
There will be profit at the end of the 2012 AFL season, it's just been a slow start for sports investment.
The reality is that not every sport we cover individually will have a fantastic year - but the balance of the results at years end is what counts.
Yesterday Luke Ball offered the players' opinion at the Players Association Meeting recently, stating : "A straw poll of our players suggested there was strong interest in reviving some form of State of Origin or a 'best of' scenario. Not directly sports gambling related, but something that needs to be mentioned.
This is great news. We all miss the state of origin, which fell by the wayside as the professionalism and interest in it waned. This time around I think that support would be much greater - given the popularity of NRL State of Origin.
The Adelaide Crows are the biggest turnaround team of 2012. If you take a look at our sports betting analysis of their 2011 season you can see the dramatic changes.
Brenton Sanderson take a bow.
when sports betting, being on the end of poor performances just plain sucks. Like Geelong yesterday, just didn't bring it. Brisbane Lions - have a habit of not bringing it.
As long as the team you have invested with "brings it" then that's all you can ask.
Just wrote a piece on AFL's adoption of the video review and how it is affecting games and people's opinions of it. As a sports investor, I do like it - but there is a vocal opposition to it.
What's your decision?
Big win tonight from the Hawks, who were otherwise woefully inaccurate. If they had failed to cover the -49.5 (which they did cover) then a lot of professional gamblers who took the hawks - not to mention the Hawks supporters themselves - would have been pissed!
yeah, the blog is heating up. Stop by for a comment if you have anything that might be worth blogging about, even if it is not specifically sports betting related
We will take a look at the AFL video review system in a post this week.
Here's one review from the NAB cup.
The sports betting gods weren't smiling on our long shots last weekend. Sometimes you win the value propositions, but being a value proposition by definition you are getting a good price about a result that is more unlikely than likely. You'll still take your hits.
At the sports betting blog we like to inform you of ways to do this thing right.
One of the most importsnt aspects is finding something that works. An approach that works. We discuss the most important statistic in sports betting, so check it out.
Straight up losing week. A bit of drawdown, the sports betting professionals bread and butter.
A lot of work is required in the sports investment game and few out there are doing it. Without it, you will middle in performance... or lose money.
Decisions are not to be taken lightly, and it requires patience and confidence in what you do to succeed.
They said this weeks round lacked a blockbuster. I know we found no clear cut must-invest games for our sports betting strategy. It was almost like a bye week in a way.
I'll look for a busy MLB this week anyways.
Actually went to two AFL games this evening - the Essendon Brisbane game and the Saints Hawks game. One of the perks of investing in sport.
Brisbane did not fire. Flat, low on energy. Essendon meanwhile showed no signs of getting carried away. Stuck to structures, really pressured the ball carrier. Supported each other.
Saints were right in it until the last quarter. Was happy taking the $3.65 however.
Will probably leave tomorrow's AFL alone.
Been so so busy with MLB and AFL - so haven't been as regular here talking AFL investment and MLB wins and the amazing investment opportunity of sports investment.
Both hopefully.
Markets tend to overreact. Lot's of value for professional gamblers can be found in-play - where the game is still in dispute, but the score has disparity.
A fancy way of saying "find value".
Melbourne had a shocker in 2011. Everybody with even a passing interest in AFL knows this.
For a sports investment analysis of Melbourne's 2011 AFL season, see the blog.
This week we were able to post a nice, healthy +29.5 units from our sports betting efforts.
Doesn't seem like much... One decent play over .500. But it translates to a +150% return on the year when you go 29.5 x 52.
Instead we have to rock and roll all year and see where the chips fall. Staying the course is the real effort.