Taking a position early on a game when betting AFL can sometimes have a consequence of taking a bad number. If the number moves, it can result in your taking a number that is 2 - or sometimes 3 or 4 points worse by the time the bounce comes around.
The cost of taking a position is sometimes it can be contrarian - and the line moves against you.
Just hope it doesn't happen too often, and if it does happen - the point or two doesn't come into play.
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